Chicago Sky vs New York Liberty

You need inside muscle if you want to hang with the defending champs and Chicago has it, ranked No. 1 in the WNBA in offensive rebounds behind 6-3 Angel Reese (9.1 ppg, 12.3 rpg) and 6-7 center Kamilla Cardoso (10.9 ppg, 6.1 rpg). Chicago is on a 2-1 SU/ATS run, knocking off Dallas twice as an underdog. They're also on a 3-1 ATS run, including covering at Phoenix as a +7.5 underdog. New York comes off a win at Washington, 86-78, failing to cover as a double-digit favorite. New York's 6-6 Jonquel Jones (13.9 ppg, 10.3 rpg), their leading rebounder and third-leading scorer, left the game early with an ankle injury. They got outscored in the paint, 46-24. Play Chicago. 

Chicago hopes to have a better showing in its first home game of the season after getting routed at Indiana on Saturday. Angel Reese did her part, scoring 12 points and grabbing 17 rebounds, but the team shot only 29 percent overall and missed 21 of 27 from 3-point range. Therefore, the Sky are getting a ton of points against New York, which beat Las Vegas 92-78 in its season opener even while missing 17 of 21 3-point tries. However, it's a look-ahead game for the Liberty, who have a big game with Caitlin Clark and the Indiana Fever on Saturday. The Liberty went OVER even with a high posted total against the Aces and Chicago figures to shoot much better playing on its home court. New York is just 3-5-1 ATS dating to last season. Take the points with the Sky and the OVER. 

New York had four straight UNDERS and missed a fifth by a half point in defeating Chicago 91-76 on Thursday, even though the Liberty shot 57 percent on 3-pointers and had gone UNDER their two previous games. New York is 4-1 UNDER its past five against teams with losing records and 7-3 UNDER its past 10 road games. The UNDER is 6-2-1 in the past nine meetings, and the past four at Chicago have stayed UNDER. The Sky is 24-10 UNDER following an ATS loss and 10-4 UNDER after any loss. Chicago is second-to-last in the WNBA in 3-point shooting percentage, averaging 79.2 points per game. Take the UNDER as a Max Play. 

Chicago has won five of eight and is on a 3-1 SU/ATS run. That includes an 88-84 win at Seattle as a double-digit underdog. The defense is fifth in the WNBA in points allowed, while the offense is No. 1 in offensive rebounds behind 6-3 Angel Reese (14 ppg, 11.9 rpg) and 6-7 Kamilla Cardoso 8 rpg). Over the last five games, Reese has had 13, 14, 10, 19, and 16 boards. The defense is also third in the league in steals. New York is ranked seventh in offensive rebounds, and the Liberty have been overvalued during their current 8-13 spread run, including 2-10 ATS at home. Make it a Max Play on Chicago.