Chicago Sky vs Minnesota Lynx Point Spread Picks

This is already the third meeting of the season; the teams split the first two, and tonight Chicago will look to avenge its 85-75 loss to the Lynx on Saturday, when it shot just 32 percent. The Sky will need to focus on defense after Toronto exploded for 111 points while shooting 58 percent from the field in its 111-104 win over Chicago on Wednesday. Minnesota has gone UNDER in four of its past five games, and six of the past nine meetings have stayed UNDER. The Lynx are 3-6 ATS on the road dating to last season, and they are also playing a back-to-back after defeating Atlanta last night while shooting 60 percent. We can expect the Lynx to cool off considerably from that level playing on consecutive nights. Take the Sky on the moneyline and the UNDER.

Minnesota lost at home to Chicago two games ago, 86-79, as a 5.5-point favorite, turning it over 15 times. They're ranked 14th in the 15-team league from the free-throw line (70.1%). Chicago is off to a 3-2 start despite playing only one home game. The defense is third in the WNBA in points allowed (83 per game) and in field-goal percentage allowed (40.5%). Chicago is on an 11-5 ATS run, so back the home dog. Play Chicago. 

Chicago is 2-1 despite not playing any home games. Their +4.3 point differential is the fourth-best in the WNBA. The defense is second in points given up (79 per game) and No. 1 in shooting allowed (36.1%). Chicago is on an 8-3 ATS run, as well as 8-3 ATS as an underdog. Minnesota's defense ranks eighth in points given up, while the offense is 12th from the charity stripe (71.9%). Minnesota comes home from a two-game road trip, losing its only home game to Atlanta, getting outrebounded, 46-25. Play Chicago. 

Chicago has covered both meetings this season, including an outright 87-81 win on Saturday, and the Sky blew a 14-point lead in losing the first one 80-75 on July 6. Chicago seems to finally be putting it all together after a disappointing season up to this point, and it will go for its third consecutive win, including defeating Dallas 87-76 on Wednesday. The Sky is also on an 8-0 ATS run. Minnesota was held to 39 percent shooting, and Angel Reese scored 19 points and grabbed 11 rebounds on Saturday. Ariel Atkins scored a team-high 27 points for the Sky. The game went OVER and Chicago is 6-2-1 OVER its past nine games. The Sky is 10-2 OVER in its past 12 against the Western Conference. The Lynx are 5-0 OVER following a loss, and six of seven meetings at Chicago have gone OVER. The Sky has gone OVER six of nine home games. Look for Chicago to do it again and take the Sky on the moneyline and the OVER.