Chicago Sky vs Indiana Fever

Indiana ranks second in the league in scoring (85.3 points per game) and sixth in 3-point shooting (34.7%), while its defense is fifth in shooting allowed (42.52%) and sixth in points allowed. They've had three days off after a win and cover against Washington, 85-76. Chicago's offense ranks 10th in the 13-team league in shooting (40.9%), 11th from beyond the arc (30.6%), and 12th from the free-throw line (72%). The defense is last in points surrendered (92 per game). Play Indiana.

Chicago added some key newcomers and won two of three preseason games. They've upgraded their 3-point shooting significantly. Chicago traded for guard Ariel Atkins, who averaged 14.9 points with Washington while shooting 35.7 from the three-point line. Kia Nurse shot 33.1% from 3-point land last season with L.A. and started all three preseason games, while veteran Courtney Vandersloot spent the last two years with New York. In addition, the defense in preseason was impressive, a swarming/attacking unit. Indiana is favored, off a .500 campaign where 2.7 points per game outscored them. They'll work in plenty of new pieces as half the roster was traded, waived, or signed elsewhere. The lack of a bench was apparent in 2024, along with a soft defense surrendering 87.7 points per game, the second-most in the WNBA. Three of the four matchups last season between these teams were decided by fewer than 10 points. Play Chicago. 

Indiana has a winning spread record at home but a losing one on the road. The defense is a problem, ranked 11th in points surrendered (86.52 per game). They're 6-11 straight up on the road and this is their third road game over the last four contests. Chicago is No. 1 in rebounds behind 6-3 Angel Reese (13.3 ppg, 12.9 rpg) and 6-7 Kamilla Cardoso (9.1 ppg, 8 rpg). They're on a 7-6 ATS run, including an 82-80 loss to Connecticut three games ago as a +11 underdog and a 77-75 loss to Las Vegas two games ago as a +9.5 home dog. These teams have met three times this season with two decided by just one point, so back the home dog. Play Chicago.

Indiana is on a 4-0 SU/ATS run anchored by an offense that is fourth in the league in shooting (44%), third from long range (35%), and fifth in turnovers. Indiana is 22-11 ATS after scoring 80+ points. Chicago is on a 2-6 SU/ATS run. Chicago's offense is ninth in shooting (42.1%), 10th from 3-point land (30.7%), and 10th from the free-throw line (76.9%). They're 9-18 ATS in divisional play and 48-77 ATS at home after playing a game as a favorite. Chicago is also 62-90 ATS at home against teams that allow 77+ points per game. Play Indiana as a Max Play.

Chicago is 3-3 straight up on the road this season, including wins at Dallas (83-74) and New York (90-81) as underdogs of +4 and +16. Chicago is 8-0 ATS on the road off a loss as a road favorite. Indiana is on a 2-6 spread run and has a losing record at home (2-4). They're in the role of favorite but are getting outscored by 4 points per game on the season. The offense is ninth in the 12-team WNBA in shooting (41.9%) and seventh from the free-throw line (79.7%). Indiana is 1-10 ATS as a home favorite and 17-31 ATS when playing their second game in five days. Play Chicago.