Chicago Sky vs Indiana Fever

Indiana has a winning spread record at home but a losing one on the road. The defense is a problem, ranked 11th in points surrendered (86.52 per game). They're 6-11 straight up on the road and this is their third road game over the last four contests. Chicago is No. 1 in rebounds behind 6-3 Angel Reese (13.3 ppg, 12.9 rpg) and 6-7 Kamilla Cardoso (9.1 ppg, 8 rpg). They're on a 7-6 ATS run, including an 82-80 loss to Connecticut three games ago as a +11 underdog and a 77-75 loss to Las Vegas two games ago as a +9.5 home dog. These teams have met three times this season with two decided by just one point, so back the home dog. Play Chicago.

Indiana is on a 4-0 SU/ATS run anchored by an offense that is fourth in the league in shooting (44%), third from long range (35%), and fifth in turnovers. Indiana is 22-11 ATS after scoring 80+ points. Chicago is on a 2-6 SU/ATS run. Chicago's offense is ninth in shooting (42.1%), 10th from 3-point land (30.7%), and 10th from the free-throw line (76.9%). They're 9-18 ATS in divisional play and 48-77 ATS at home after playing a game as a favorite. Chicago is also 62-90 ATS at home against teams that allow 77+ points per game. Play Indiana as a Max Play.

Chicago is 3-3 straight up on the road this season, including wins at Dallas (83-74) and New York (90-81) as underdogs of +4 and +16. Chicago is 8-0 ATS on the road off a loss as a road favorite. Indiana is on a 2-6 spread run and has a losing record at home (2-4). They're in the role of favorite but are getting outscored by 4 points per game on the season. The offense is ninth in the 12-team WNBA in shooting (41.9%) and seventh from the free-throw line (79.7%). Indiana is 1-10 ATS as a home favorite and 17-31 ATS when playing their second game in five days. Play Chicago. 

Indiana has shown no signs of improving even with Caitlin Clark's arrival and frustration has started to set in as the Fever have a 1-8 record and they haven't even covered the spread their past three games. The Fever lost 103-88 to Seattle on Thursday and the lack of defense helped the Storm shoot 56 percent from the field while Indiana shot just 41 percent and Clark went 6-for-17 for 20 points. Chicago has covered four of five, including an 83-73 victory over Los Angeles as a 4.5-point favorite and Marina Mabrey led the Sky with 20 points. Chicago is 16-5-1 ATS its past 22 games playing with one day of rest and 7-3 ATS overall after an ATS win. The Fever are just 2-5 ATS their past seven home games. Take the Sky as a Max Play.