Chicago Sky vs Dallas Wings Point Spread Picks

We cashed the UNDER in Chicago's game at Phoenix Tuesday, a reminder that this Sky offense simply doesn't have the pieces to keep pace with a functional roster, let alone a red-hot one. Dallas enters riding a four-game winning streak that ended with a 13-point demolition of Toronto in Montreal on Friday, and the Wings are already 2-0 against Chicago this season, with a chance at their first sweep of the Sky since 2014. Rickea Jackson is done for the year, and DiJonai Carrington remains out, leaving Chicago to lean on a rotation that's been near the bottom of the league in both scoring defense and offense. That thin bench is the through-line on both bets tonight. Dallas doesn't need to play flat-out for 40 minutes against a team this overmatched, and once the Wings build the kind of cushion this matchup suggests, easing off in the second half becomes the sensible play. Chicago's offense, meanwhile, doesn't generate enough clean, efficient looks to push a total this high, no matter how well Dallas is shooting. The number the market has posted assumes a competitive, high-possession game from a Sky team that hasn't given anyone reason to expect one lately. Take the Sky with the points, and go with the UNDER tonight.

Chicago arrives tonight having dropped five straight, operating without three contributors who haven't seen the floor yet this season, and leaning on a 35-year-old Skylar Diggins to carry an offense that lost its best scorer to a torn ACL before May was over. The Sky showed early what they could be defensively, but their offense has dropped off: they're connecting on 42 percent from the field and have won once in their last 10 games. Dallas has been steadier at home, with Jessica Shepard creating problems on both ends and Paige Bueckers capable of controlling the tempo whenever the Wings need a bucket. When these teams met last month, they combined for 188 points; that Chicago team still had a full rotation. This version is shorter on answers, and the posted total reflects a ceiling that a depleted Sky offense can't reach tonight. Take the UNDER.

Dallas is 2-8 on the road. The offense is 10th in field goal shooting (41.6%), while the defense is 10th in points surrendered (85.9 per game). They're on a 10-6 run OVER the total. Dallas plays its second straight on the road after getting drubbed at Phoenix, 102-72. They're on a 6-15 ATS run on the road. Chicago is glad to be home after playing five of the last six on the road. They beat Los Angeles twice during that stretch, 92-85 and 97-86, and are on a 7-2 ATS run. Chicago is also on an
11-6 run OVER the total. Play Chicago + OVER the total. 

Chicago is second in the WNBA in rebounding, led by 6-3 Angel Reese (13 boards per game) and 6-7 center Kamilla Cardoso (12.8 ppg, 6.8 rpg). They come off a win over Dallas, 97-92, as an underdog with an edge in offensive rebounding, 14-9. They also nailed 10 three-pointers (41.7%) and had 44 points in the paint. Dallas is winless at home and ranks as the second-worst defensive team in the league, allowing 88.3 points per game. The only win Dallas has is over Connecticut, which is 1-5. The wagering value is based on the visitors winning the game. Play Chicago on the moneyline.