Atlanta Dream vs Washington Mystics

Washington is in double revenge after losing the past two meetings this season, including a tough 92-91 loss on June 20 as a 9.5-point underdog. The Mystics shot 53 percent in that game and still came up short. They also come off a 68-67 loss to Golden State on Thursday when the Mystics shot just 38 percent. They'll try to put it all together today against Atlanta, which has lost 17 of the past 25 meetings with a 6-18-1 ATS mark. Atlanta has gone OVER six of eight home games, and Washington has gone OVER four of six on the road. The Mystics are 5-1 OVER their past six following a loss, and they have covered six of seven on the road versus the Dream, who could be missing Rhyne Howard (knee) and Brittney Griner (neck) due to injuries. Take the Mystics and the OVER.

Washington has won two out of three after a 79-72 victory at Chicago, coming back from a 12-point halftime deficit. The defense is third in shooting allowed (41%) and in defensive rebounding. Meanwhile, Atlanta is seventh in the 13-team league in 3-point shooting and ninth from the free-throw line. Atlanta comes home from a two-game trip after losing at New York, 86-81. The defense is seventh in field goal shooting allowed. Washington has won three of the last five meetings, with one of the losses in overtime. Play Washington on the moneyline.

Atlanta heads out on the road for a two-game trip. The offense is ninth from the free-throw line (75.7%), while the defense is ninth in field goal shooting allowed. In their last road game, Atlanta was a double-digit favorite at Connecticut but lost, 84-76. They allowed 50% shooting and got outscored in the paint, 44-32. While Atlanta played Friday night, Washington has had six days off. Washington is sixth in the league in shooting and in 3-point shooting, plus third in rebounding. They have a winning home record and play their third straight at home after a 104-67 rout of Connecticut with a 42-22 rebounding advantage. These teams opened the season against each other on this court, and Washington won, 94-90, as a +8 underdog, shooting 50.8%. Atlanta shot 40.5%, missed nine free throws (66.7%), and turned it over 16 times. Play Washington on the moneyline.

Atlanta returns its leading scorers in guards Rhyne Howard (17.3 ppg) and Allisha Gray (15.6 ppg). They had a great offseason, bringing in 6-9 Brittney Griner, Brionna Jones, and veteran Shatori Walker-Kimbrough. Griner averaged 17.8 points and 6.6 rebounds for Phoenix in 2024. Atlanta is on an 18-8-1 ATS run. Washington was tied last season for the worst home record (5-15). The new head coach, Sydney Johnson, wants to push the tempo but has opened a training camp with the league's youngest and least experienced team. They're not healthy, short at point guard with Georgia Amoore out, while Shakira Austin (11.8 ppg, 6.8 rpg in 2024) is day-to-day with a right leg injury. Play Atlanta.

The past five meetings have gone UNDER, including Washington's 72-69 win on Friday that went UNDER by 14 points. Atlanta shot just 29 percent and went 5-for-20 from 3-point distance. The Dream have gone UNDER five of its past seven games and have averaged only 66.5 points their past two games. The Mystics are 7-3 UNDER their past 10 games and have allowed an average of 63.5 their past two against Chicago and Atlanta. The UNDER is 6-2 following a Mystics' ATS win and the Dream have stayed UNDER five straight against teams with losing records. Atlanta is 8-2-1 UNDER playing with one day of rest and 13-3 UNDER in Sunday games. Take the UNDER.