Atlanta Dream vs Seattle Storm Point Spread Picks

Atlanta arrives in Seattle tonight as one of the bigger road favorites on the WNBA board, a price built on a 12-5 record and a roster anchored by Angel Reese, who is averaging 14.7 points and 11.8 rebounds while controlling the paint against anyone they've faced. Rhyne Howard provides a reliable second punch, and the Dream have been one of the more complete teams in the league. The case for Seattle isn't that the Storm are a better team. They're 4-15, and they've been beaten up this year. The case is that nine and a half points is a substantial number to lay on the road, even when you're the superior side, and Seattle has enough offensive firepower in Dominique Malonga and Flau'jae Johnson to keep this from becoming a blowout. Dallas needed overtime to escape Seattle when Malonga went for 37. Atlanta's defense is a top-five unit in the league, which is actually the thread connecting both sides of this ticket: if the Dream controls Seattle below 80 and grinds through this as a road team rather than running away with it, the game finishes well under the posted total without Seattle needing anything more than a competitive effort to beat the number. Sharp money is on the Storm tonight, with professional backing for Seattle far exceeding what the public ticket count would suggest. Side with Seattle ATS and take the UNDER.

A long road trip for Atlanta, north of the border to the Rogers Arena in Vancouver, Canada. It's their fourth straight game away from home, after winning at Seattle, 85-75. Seattle is one of the best defensive teams in the league, fifth in points allowed, while the offense is fifth in shooting (44.8%), sixth from 3-point land (33.4%), and seventh from the free-throw line (77.7%). They've dropped six straight but have been in every game, losing in double overtime to Los Angeles by a basket, along with defeats by 4, 4, 4, and 3 points. Play Seattle.

Atlanta has covered the past five meetings, including 94-87 as a 5-point underdog on May 30. The Dream have won six of nine following their 90-81 victory over New York on Sunday. Brionna Jones scored a team-leading 21 points and Allisha Gray added 20 points for Atlanta, which shot 53 percent. Seattle has not covered the number its past three games, including an 84-57 blowout loss at Golden State. The Storm are 1-4 ATS their past five following a loss. The Dream are 16-4-2 ATS against teams with winning records dating to last season and they have gone OVER four home games in a row. Both teams have gone OVER five of their past six overall and the past three meetings have sailed OVER. Atlanta is 7-2 straight up at home this year. Take the Dream and the OVER.