Atlanta Dream vs San Antonio Silver Stars Point Spread Picks

Atlanta won the last meeting 88-75 as a 9.5-point favorite in a game that went OVER by 10 points on July 18. Tiffany Hayes scored 25 points and Brittney Sykes added 20 for the Dream, which won despite shooting only 33.3 percent from the field, but by making 21 more free throws. San Antonio comes off an 84-74 loss at Chicago, which snapped a three-game winning streak and the Stars have gone OVER in five of their last seven games. Atlanta lost 83-77 to New York and the game went OVER by a point and Sykes led the Dream with 16 points.  San Antonio has gone OVER in four of its last five home games and the Dream has soared OVER the total five of its last six road contests and nine of its last 12 overall. The Silver Stars are headed for a last place finish with a current 6-22 record. Back the Dream and the OVER.

San Antonio is undervalued, covering five of the last eight as part of a 9-3 ATS run against the Eastern Conference. San Antonio is a big dog again, but prefers a slower pace, ranked fifth in the WNBA in points allowed. They come off an 81-76 loss to first-place Minnesota as a +13 dog, and the team is 13-5 ATS when following a straight-up loss. Moriah Jefferson, the Stars' second-leading scorer is averaging 13.5 points per game, and put up 26 points and eight assists in the losing effort. Atlanta is one game over .500 for the season, seventh in the league in scoring, #12 in assists and eighth in points allowed. The Dream will be without its leading scorer Angel McCoughtry (19.2 points, 5.7 rebounds per game) this week. McCoughtry was suspended by the WNBA on Monday for one game after receiving her seventh technical foul of the season. The two meetings this season have been close, with Atlanta winning in OT and San Antonio winning the rematch, 73-69, on June 25. Take the points on San Antonio.

Atlanta is second in the East behind New York and has a winning road record. They've had two days to rest and steam over a double-overtime loss to New York. Atlanta is third in the WNBA in rebounding and has won 7 of 11. The Dream have a strong one-two punch with forward Angel McCoughtry (19.8 points per game) and guard Tiffany Hayes (14.8 ppg). Atlanta center Elizabeth Williams, acquired in an offseason trade, leads the WNBA with 2.5 blocks per game. The Dream are 14-6 ATS when following a straight-up loss, plus 13-3 ATS when playing on two days of rest. San Antonio has lost 11 of 13 with the worst offense in the league, mustering 74.3 ppg, and ranks #11 out of 12 teams in field-goal percentage (40.9%). And the Stars are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 home games. Play Atlanta.