Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty

New York has won eight of the past nine meetings, including 86-81 in the first one this season. Both teams lost on Friday, but the Dream had to go overtime before falling 96-92 to Minnesota. It was Atlanta's second loss in a row as it lost to lowly Dallas 68-55 the game before and the Dream are on a 0-4 ATS run. New York has won 16 of 22 road games dating to last season and it has won and covered the past five meetings on the road versus the Dream. The Liberty are still adjusting to the absence of center Jonquel Jones, who is out indefinitely with an ankle injury. However, the defending champs still have enough depth with Breanna Stewart (20.7 ppg) and Sabrina Ionescu (18.9 ppg) leading the way. Take the Liberty.

This is the first meeting of the season, and Atlanta has covered the spread three times out of the last four meetings in 2024. The Dream are 8-3 ATS this year, and they have won seven of eight (7-1 ATS) after crushing Washington 89-56 on Sunday. Allisha Gray poured in 32 points, and the Dream hit 18 3-pointers. The Mystics were held to 30 percent shooting and 3-for-17 from beyond the arc. Atlanta has won its past three games by an average of 23.3 points. New York lost for the first time this season, 102-88, at Indiana as Caitlin Clark put on another shooting expedition and scored 32 points. The Liberty had feasted on a weak schedule in the early going in 2025, and they now have another big challenge against red-hot Atlanta. New York is 1-4 ATS in its past five against teams with winning records. Take the Dream ATS and on the moneyline.

Atlanta will look to shoot better than it did in Game 1 as the Dream hit only three of 16 3-point tries and shot 40 percent overall. Rhyne Howard (14 points) and Tina Charles (12 points) were the only players in double figures. New York shot just 43 percent, but the Liberty were a little better from 3-point range. It will be difficult for the Liberty to cover a big number in consecutive games as they still are just 2-6 ATS their past eight home games against Atlanta and 1-6 ATS their past seven home games overall. The Dream have covered 11 of 15 on the road, 15-7-1 ATS their past 23 games overall and they are facing elimination in this first-round three-game series. Take the points with the Dream.

These teams met Thursday in the regular season finale and Atlanta won 78-67 while covering as a 5-point underdog. The Dream also covered the previous meeting, losing 81-75 as a 15.5-point dog on June 30. The Dream snuck into the playoffs by winning their final three games and they got the money in all three. Four of their past five games have gone UNDER as they have allowed just 71.6 points per game in that span. New York is just 4-5 ATS its past nine games and it has stayed UNDER five of its past seven games. The Liberty are 5-16 ATS their past 21 home games and Atlanta is 14-6 ATS on the road. Thursday's game went UNDER by 12.5 points. Take the points with the Dream, and play Game 1 of this series to stay UNDER.

A couple of strong defensive teams meet in this season finale, with Atlanta looking to secure the eighth and final playoff spot. The Dream ranks fifth in the WNBA in points allowed and fourth in field goal shooting allowed (42.9%). The offense, however, is last in scoring and shooting (40.6%), plus the second-worst from 3-point land (30.7%). Atlanta is on a 13-7 run UNDER the total. New York is third in points given up and second in field goal shooting allowed (42.5%), and comes in on a 9-4 run UNDER the total. They have already clinched the No. 1 seed with a 32-7 straight-up record. Take Atlanta/New York UNDER the total.