Atlanta Dream vs Dallas Wings

Dallas is improving as it has covered three of four with outright wins against Golden State and Connecticut before losing 91-88 at Washington as a 6-point underdog on Sunday. Arike Ogunbowale and Paige Bueckers combined for 47 points, but the Wings need to get more contributions from their teammates. Dallas kept it close despite shooting 38 percent and hitting just eight of 25 3-point tries against the Mystics. Atlanta has not covered its past two games, including 93-80 over Chicago as a 16-point favorite after barely beating the Mystics 92-91. Dallas has gone OVER five straight versus Eastern Conference opponents and the Dream are 6-1-1 OVER their past eight road games. Dallas is 7-3 ATS the past 10 meetings. Atlanta has gone OVER three straight. Take the Wings ATS and on the moneyline, and bet this game to sail OVER the total.

Dallas figures to improve as the season goes on, and the Wings got their first cover, losing 85-81 as a double-digit underdog at Minnesota. Paige Bueckers is still searching for her shooting touch, but Arike Ogunbowale scored 21 points and the Wings hit 12 of 33 3-point tries. Dallas has gone UNDER two in a row, and it has stayed UNDER four of five on the road against Atlanta. The Wings have won and covered seven of nine meetings. The Dream came off an 81-76 loss to Indiana while shooting just 36 percent and missing 19 of 29 from beyond the arc, and the game went UNDER. Atlanta is 2-4-1 ATS in its past seven home games. Look for Dallas to get its first win of the young season. Take the Wings ATS and on the moneyline plus the UNDER.

Dallas is fourth in the WNBA in scoring (83.7 points per game), fifth in shooting, and second in offensive rebounds behind Natasha Howard (17.4 ppg, 7 rpg) and Arike Ogunbowale (22.8 ppg). They've won three of five, including a 93-90 upset against Las Vegas as a +9 underdog and a 94-76 rout of Minnesota as a +8 dog. Atlanta is in the role of favorite, though they're 11-22 on the season, getting outcored by four points per game on average. They're last in the league in scoring and shooting (40.8%). Atlanta is also 11th in 3-point shooting and is 6-9-1 ATS at home. Play Dallas. 

Dallas is fifth defensively in points allowed. This is their first road game after splitting the first two at home against Chicago. The offense is the fourth-worst in scoring and shooting (40.5%). Atlanta plays its first home game after splitting two in L.A. and Phoenix. WNBA road teams like Dallas that averaged 62 or more shots per game in the previous season after a game where they made 90%+ of their free throws with a total of 150+ are 36-13 UNDER the total. Play Dallas/Atlanta UNDER the total.

Dallas has covered the number four in a row after defeating the Dream 94-82 in Game 1 on Friday with Satou Sabally scoring a team-leading 32 points, and Arike Ogunbowale adding 24 points for the Wings, who held Atlanta to 37 percent shooting although Rhyne Howard poured in 36 points. The Dream have dropped six of their past nine games and faded down the stretch after a strong start to the season. Dallas has won and covered the past five meetings by an average of 10.5 points. Atlanta is 1-10 ATS its past 11 road games and 1-7 ATS overall against teams with winning records. The Wings are 6-0 ATS playing with at least three days rest and they have covered seven of eight against Eastern Conference opponents. Look for Dallas to get off to a better start after falling behind 36-21 on Friday. Take the Wings as a Max Play.