Atlanta Dream vs Chicago Sky

Atlanta barely got by Washington with a 92-91 win on Friday after losing 86-81 to New York the game before. Now the Dream are laying as many points as they have all season. The Mystics shot 53 percent and the game went OVER by 26 points and the Dream went OVER by 5.5 points against the Liberty. Chicago also went OVER by 33 points versus Phoenix on Saturday while shooting 53 percent, but the defense was obviously lacking and the Mercury hit 17 of 35 3-point tries. Atlanta is just #7 in the league in 3-point shooting percentage with 33.6 percent. Look for Chicago to stay within the huge number. Take the big points with the Sky and the OVER.

Atlanta is 6-3 while playing a relatively weak schedule in the early going. The Dream defeated Indiana 77-58 on Tuesday, as the Fever still are missing injured Caitlin Clark. That followed a loss to Connecticut, which was the Sun's second win of the year. The Dream has lost seven of 10 home games against Chicago, which had covered the spread in three consecutive games before facing the Fever and the Liberty, who have combined for four losses against the Sky this season. Chicago won and covered two of the last three meetings with Atlanta in 2024. The Sky has four players averaging double figures, led by Ariel Atkins with 13.4 per game. Take the Sky ATS.

Chicago's offense is 11th in the 12-team WNBA in points scored and shooting (42.5%), plus last from the free-throw line (74%). They're on a 12-7 run UNDER the total, including 4-1 UNDER away from home. Atlanta is last in the league in scoring and shooting (40.44%). They focus on defense, ranked fourth in field goal shooting allowed, third in defensive rebounds, and fifth in points given up. They're on a 13-6 run UNDER the total. These teams played a 78-67 game when they last met that sailed UNDER and this looks like another game with more defense than offense. Take Chicago/Atlanta UNDER the total. 

Atlanta is sixth in turnover margin, seventh from the charity stripe (78%), and eighth from long range (32.1%), while the defense is fifth in points allowed. They're also fifth in offensive and defensive rebounding. Atlanta is on a 7-5 run OVER the total, including 4-2 OVER on the road. Chicago is favored but just 3-7 straight-up at home. The offense is ninth in the 12-team league in scoring, 11th in shooting (42.1%), 11th from area code three (30.1%), and last from the free-throw line (75%). Chicago is coming home from a three game road trip after losing at Seattle, 84-71, on an 8-3 run OVER the total. They hosted Atlanta on June 8 and lost 89-80, turning it over 21 times. Play Atlanta + bet this game OVER the total.