Cagliari is ranked #18 in the 20-team Italian Serie A League with a decent offense (31 goals in 30 games), but the defense is terrible (51 goals surrendered). They've allowed 10 goals over the last five games. They're home for this one, and the offense will score on 19th-ranked Parma, who are allowing 59 goals (second-most in the league). Parma comes off of a 3-1 loss to Milan with nine of their last 10 games sailing OVER 2.5 goals. Play the OVER.
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