Birmingham City is playing fairly well to start the English Championship League, in eighth place tallying 7 goals through five matches. They're on a 1-2-1 run, however, allowing 2 goals each time to AFC Bournemouth and Fulham, both at home. That soft defense is worth watching as last season Birmingham City surrendered 61 goals in 46 games, tied for the fourth-most in the 24-team league. Derby County is winless over the last three games, including a 2-1 loss to Sheffield United. Derby County's defense was also poor last year (58 goals allowed in 46 games) when they ranked #21 in the league standings. This is a low total with so many holes on the defenses. It shapes up as an offensive show, just like the last seven meetings between these rivals with final scores of 2-1, 4-0, 3-1, 3-2, 2-2, 3-1, and 3-0. Back Birmingham City/Derby County OVER the total.
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