Alianza FC vs. Universidad San Martin de Porres

Alianza Atlético FC is in first place in the Peru Premier Division, outscoring league foes 9-3 after four games. 13 of their last 18 have gone OVER 2 goals, including seven of their last 10 at home. Universidad San Martin de Porres is struggling defensively, surrendering 10 goals in four matches, the second-most in the 19-team league. Last season, they surrendered 33 goals in 17 Clausura games to end the second half of the campaign, and six of their last seven have sailed OVER 2 while allowing 21 goals, so I anticipate more offense than oddsmakers expect. Play this match to go OVER the total.