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2011 Season WNBA Basketball Past Picks

July 09, 2011


Washington at Indiana

Saturday 07/09 07:05 PM Eastern

5 units on Washington +9 (+100) (risk 5 to return 5)  RESULT: loss

2 units on Game Total OVER 147 -110 (risk 2 to return 2)  RESULT: loss

The Washington Mystics have gotten off to a sluggish 2-7 start to the season, while Indiana enters this one atop the East with a mark of 8-3. The Fever have won five straight games, and are off a huge emotional win vs. Seattle where they undressed the Storm in a runaway 68-51 win at home. This is a team that has won four straight games vs. arguably four of the top teams in the league, and the five-game streak started with a 9-point win vs. Washington. If there is ever a flat spot for a team off four big wins, playing a team they already handled on the road, this is it. The Mystics meanwhile need a win, and not only has revenge, but a shot at the best team in the East, so whatever the Mystics’ "A" game is, this is the spot for it. The Fever has developed a penchant for mailing it in vs. bad teams at 1-4 ATS in their last five vs. a losing team. Washington has gone 10-1 ATS the past three seasons as a big road dog of 6.5 to 12 points. Indiana is coming off two lights-out shooting performances (53% vs. Phoenix and 53.7% vs. Seattle) and they shot 46% the game before that. The Fever are just 5-16 ATS at home after three games shooting 42% or more. Washington is also 14-3 to the OVER in their last 17 vs. the East, and the last 12 in this series has produced nine OVER the total. The Mystics are also 27-15 OVER the past three seasons as an underdog while Indiana is 21-8 OVER at home after a double-digit win. Play Washington (I believe they will battle for the outright win) and take the OVER.

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