2010 Season WNBA Basketball Past Picks

August 27, 2010


Washington at Atlanta

Friday 08/27 07:30 PM Eastern

4 units on Atlanta -2.5 (-110) (risk 4 to return 4)  RESULT: WIN

We called an Atlanta upset in game one of this series. Now I'm calling for a sweep. Yes, Washington is seeded higher, but Atlanta is the better team. They proved it in game one on the Mystics' home court. Now they are at home and should win and cover this small number. The Dream put up 95 points last game and they have scored 78+ points in three straight meetings with Washington. Why is the 78 number significant? Over the past three seasons, Atlanta is 37-23 ATS when scoring 78 or more. And, Washington is 11-21 ATS the past two seasons when they allow 78 or more. This Dream offense is just too much for Washington to handle. The Mystics have never performed well as an underdog, going 114-150 ATS in this role. That includes 50-72 ATS as a road dog of 6 or less and 25-42 ATS in road games late in the season (August+September). Atlanta meanwhile, is 12-3 ATS dating back to last season when coming off an upset win. I like Atlanta to close things out here.



Last 12.2 years

Wins Losses Units
639 598 +40.81

with detailed analysis