Wake Forest at NC State

Don't look now, but Wake Forest is 4-0 to start the season, and are averaging 25.5 points per game. That is what has driven the total in this game, and I'm simply not buying it. The Demon deacons have played against some horrible defenses this season like Duke, Delaware, and Indiana. Let's remember that this is a team that has a long term history of having one of the most inept offenses in the FBS as they have averaged between 14.8 and 18.5 points per game over the last four years. Wake Forest's offensive numbers still leave them slightly below average from the line of scrimmage. NC State has been considerably above average from the line of scrimmage on defense, allowing 5.8 yards a play to teams that have averaged 6.4. This game should also be about 58% rushing and 42% passing, so the number of plays by both teams should be lower than average as well. Wake Forest ran 87 plays vs. Delaware which distorts their numbers. Wake Forest has controlled good rushing teams, having played UNDER to a 21-8 mark in their last 29 games vs. a team that averages 4.75 yards per carry or more. Play on the UNDER in this one.