Vermont vs. Florida State

The Vermont Catamounts have been somewhat of a secret. This is a program that has stood the test of time. The Catamounts upset Syracuse in this tournament. Vermont played well above the line this season, finishing 20-10-2 ATS. This is a team that lost at Louisville on the road by just eight points and put up 78 against the Cardinals so they can score against good teams. Florida State has struggled in the NCAA Tournament as a favorite, posting a 2-5 ATS mark in their last seven. Florida Gulf Coast, Saint Bonaventure, and VCU have all gotten the money against them and averaged 74.3 points per game in doing so. I think Vermont is experienced enough, and the moment won't prove to be too big for them. Vermont won't shy away from the basket and play keep-away as this team can score. This will be a close game with the late-game fouls contributing to the final score as well. Play Vermont and the OVER.