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2011 Season WNBA Basketball Past Picks

August 06, 2011

06

Tulsa at San Antonio

Saturday 08/06 08:00 PM Eastern

2 units on Tulsa +14.5 (-110) (risk 2 to return 2)  RESULT: win

3 units on Game Total OVER 150 -110 (risk 3 to return 3)  RESULT: loss

San Antonio has had trouble scoring against the better teams in the league, where they have averaged just 68.6ppg against teams in the top six in fewest points allowed. That changes dramatically when they take to the floor against a team in the bottom six where they score 89.2ppg, with the total averaging 170.1ppg.  Clearly the total reflects a lot of value on the OVER here. Tulsa just dropped all four games on a four game homestand and it should do this team well to get out and play free on the road where I expect them to respond. They have been drubbed by the Silver Stars in the two games played already this season, so I expect a big effort here. Both those games topped this total as well. San Antonio has two big opponents on the road coming up against Indiana and Connecticut, so I don't expect to see a big effort here, especially against a team they have already abused twice. The Shock are at 12-5-1 to the OVER with zero rest and San Antonio at 9-4 to the OVER vs. a losing team last their last 13. I am on Tulsa and the OVER here. 

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