2011 Season WNBA Basketball Past Picks
July 10, 2011
Tulsa at Phoenix
Sunday 07/10 06:00 PM Eastern
3 units on Tulsa +14.5 (-110) (risk 3 to return 3) RESULT: LOSS
Tulsa is 1-10 including 0-5 on the road. They are losing by an average of 12 points per game. No one wants to touch a team like that, leading to line value. Well, I'm the opposite. I love getting this many points and I love value. Double-digit road dogs do well in the WNBA and certain types, of which Tulsa qualifies today, hit at a 70%+ mark. When things look too easy in sports betting, they usually are. While the public lines up on Phoenix here, I'm going the other way. Over the past few seasons, Phoenix is just 3-12 ATS at home after playing back-to-back games as a favorite. This one is going to seem easy for Phoenix and I see a high potential for letdown and a Tulsa cover.