Toronto at Boston

Boston spoiled the party over the border in Toronto, where the Maple Leafs were looking for their first home playoff win since 2004. They were denied, and outscored 9-5 in the two games, and now must head to Boston facing elimination in Game Five. Toronto has surrendered 15 goals in the first four games, which by playoffs standards is a ton, and not conducive to winning.  For a long time now, Toronto has had trouble against the better teams, and the ledger shows they are just 18-38 in their last 56 games against a winning team. Playing in Boston hasn't cured those ills, as they are just 1-6 in their last seven here. Toronto doesn't have enough experience to go on the road in a closeout game and survive, so take Boston.