Toledo at Central Michigan

Toledo sent their best offensive player to the NFL, but the one staple of this team is that they will score points, and have been doing so for quite some time. The Toledo offense has averaged 33 points or more per game in each of the past seven seasons, and no team over the past four years (including this one), has been more consistent on offense as they have averaged between 35-38 points a game over the past four seasons. That makes the job very difficult for Central Michigan who is struggling on offense, and has scored just 67 total points in their last four games or just 16.8 points per game. I say that because Toledo owns poor offensive teams as they are 96-64-3 ATS when facing a team that averages fewer than 25 ppg, including 23-10 ATS in their last 33. This is a tough spot for Central Michigan, and one in which Toledo has owned. Make the play on Toledo.