img HORSE

TAMPA BAY DOWNS Race #3

February 15, 2012
img1:25 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Top pick: #2 (REIGING LIVIA) - Her trainer (Jamie Ness) is 42 for 86 (48%) at this meet and is an amazing 29 wins over the 2nd place conditioner (Gerald Bennett 13 victories ). This filly rallied to win here at this price on Jan 25th to pick up her 2nd score and was claimed that afternoon by Ness. He's winning at a steady 34% rate with fresh "halters" over the past 18 months and this mare is the choice for the win.

2nd pick: #1 (A Shot Away) - She finished 2nd at this level on the dirt Jan 8th in her first off a Miki Dini claim, then raced evenly facing tougher going longer on the turf last out. Has the rail, cuts-back in distance, and switches back to the dirt.

3rd pick: #5 (Noah's Expense) - She's improved noticeably since this meet began and is (3-2-1-0) here this winter. Speed/stalker was beaten a length when finishing 2nd last out at this level and 4yo home-bred should be involved from gate to wire.

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