Tampa Bay at Detroit

Tampa Bay has a losing record and a bad defense, yet they are a road favorite. The Bucs are 4-8-1 ATS this season and 6-13-1 ATS as a road favorite. The defense is second to last in passing yards allowed (278.8 pg) and in points surrendered (29.3 pg). The offense will be without star WR Mike Evans, who is "very doubtful" after injuring his hamstring in Week 14. They are favored over a Detroit offense that is #13 in the NFL in total yards, seventh in passing with 263 yards per game behind QBs Matthew Stafford and Jeff Driskel, who have combined for 23 TDs and nine INTs. Detroit is 10-2 ATS against Tampa Bay and the underdog is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings, so back the home dog. Play Detroit.