St. Louis at Los Angeles

Brad Penny had a career year last year, and much of that has carried forward to this year in the eyes of the odds-makers, but not the results. Penny allowed four runs or more in just five of his first 30 starts last year, but since has allowed four or more in eight of his last 12, and a 5.34 ERA shows he is not the same. Kyle Lohse was out there for anyone, the Cards gave him a shot and he has delivered six starts of two runs or less. This is last seasons moneyline with Penny, who has been out-pitched by Lohse on the season, and we'll ride the value, and grab the Cards here.