South Alabama vs. Air Force

ARIZONA BOWL - South Alabama is not new to Bowl games, playing in the 2014 Camellia Bowl. South Alabama has good balance on offense with RB Xavier Johnson (5.4 yards per carry). South Alabama came out strong with a win at Mississippi State in its season opener as a +28 dog, the Sun Belt's lone triumph over an SEC team in 2016. They also faced a Mountain West Bowl team in San Diego State and won 42-24 as a +19 dog. The Jaguars are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games on grass. Air Force has been overvalued by oddsmakers, failing to cover six of the last eight. They were favored by double-digits over San Jose and won by three points, by seven over Colorado State and won by three, and by double-digits against Fresno and failed to cover. They were also 17-point chalk against Hawaii and lost 34-27. Play South Alabama.