This pick was released to clients on February 04, 2013 at 5:16PM ET.
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San Francisco at Philadelphia

May 7, 2006
img8:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
2 units on Philadelphia -142 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 3.41)
Result:
WIN

Barry Bonds has been missing in action in this series and he can't be excited to see Jon Lieber tonight. Bonds is just 5 for 36 lifetime against the Phillies pitcher. With Bonds slumping, the Giants have tanked, losing six of seven. Meanwhile, the Phillies are riding a seven game win streak. Over that span, Philadelphia is scoring 6.1 runs per game and allowed just 3.1 per game. Their bullpen is pitching great (3.32 ERA on the season, 2.74 at home) while San Francisco's has been terrible (6.12 ERA). An expected high scoring game favors Lieber as he is 29-7 at home with a total of 10 or higher. Favorites at -125 to -175 with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 and a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 1.50 the last 5 games are 68-21 (76%) since 1997.) And, home teams starting a pitcher with an ERA of 6.20 or worse on the season after 3 straight games where the bullpen gave up no runs are 35-13 (73%) since 1997. Philadelphia for the sweep.

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