2012 Season NFL Football Past Picks
September 30, 2012
San Francisco at New York
Sunday 09/30 01:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Game Total OVER PICK (risk 2 to return 2) RESULT: LOSS
Many pundits had the San Francisco 49ers gold plated into the Super Bowl after their first two weeks of the season. That may still be the case, but “the invincible ones” took it hard on the chin last week in Minnesota, getting out-played for 60 minutes in a 24-13 loss. The defense that was considered to be impenetrable has now allowed 22 points per game. And they are really in a bad spot here. This will be the third time in four weeks that San Francisco has had to head east for a game. They have logged more miles than any team in the league with stops in Minnesota, Green Bay, and now all the way across the country to New York. The Jets were supposed to be a a defensive team under Rex Ryan. The fact is that under Ryan this team is 35-21 to the OVER. And, they lost Darrelle Revis for the season to a torn ACL. This season the Jets’ defense is giving up 25 ppg through three contests. But is three games enough to judge? Well, the 25 per game is the exact same average amount of points they allowed in their last eight games a year ago. So we have 11 games to go on - this defense is average. It may not surprise you then to learn that the Jets’ are 26-12 to the OVER the past three seasons. Under Rex Ryan, they are 13-5 OVER vs. winning teams. Take the OVER here.