San Diego State at Fresno State

San Diego State is a big dog here but a fine team that will be going to a Bowl game. The Aztecs have a rock solid defense that is #23 in the nation in yards allowed and points, and fifth against the run. San Diego State has played eight consecutive games that have been decided by eight or fewer points. The Aztecs are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games on field-turf. On the road, the Aztecs are getting outscored by just a 23.8 to 21 average, yet they are a big dog to rival Fresno State. Fresno comes off a physical game against Boise State, losing 24-17 as a favorite. They won't find the going easy against a San Diego State defensive line that is allowing just 2.7 yards per rush. San Diego State is on a 38-9 run straight-up, including 26-6 against Mountain West opponents, as well as 7-1 in the role of underdog. This shapes up as a close one, so take the points with the talented dog. Play San Diego State.