Pittsburgh at Chicago

Pittsburgh has scored 19 runs the last three games with an offense ranked ninth in baseball in runs scored, eighth in on-base percentage, and 11th in slugging. They are in Wrigley Field today, a small, offensive park. Starter Nick Kingham has allowed fewer hits than innings pitched and has a terrific 30-5 strikeout to walk ratio in 29 innings. They face 34-year old Chicago Cubs lefty Jon Lester, who has faced Pittsburgh twice already this season with a 6.55 ERA allowing 18 base runners in 11 innings. The Pirates are hitting .319 off him in 2018, so back the dog. Play Pittsburgh.