Pittsburgh at Atlanta

The Pirates simply can't hit. This team has averaged 3.3 runs per game on the season and it's getting worste. Over their last seven games, that has dropped to 2.6 per game. While Kenshin Kawakami is winless, he's actually pitched very well. In his three home starts he's allowed only 7 earned runs in 15 innings. The Braves are 15-6 here at home while the Pirates have won only 9 of 27 road games. Dating back to last season, Pittsburgh is just 22-56 on the road vs. RHP and 21-52 when coming off three straight road games. Over that span they are also 4-26 as a road dog of +150 to +175. Atlanta gets it done.