Phoenix at Minnesota

This line is skewed thanks to recent events. Phoenix is coming off a loss in which they scored just 87 points. Meanwhile, Minnesota put up 126 in a 31 point victory last game vs. Philadelphia. The public loves high-scoring teams and right now the Wolves look like an easy big winner here. But, let's not forget that Minnesota is a .500 team while Phoenix is 20-13 on the season. And, the Suns offense is powerful as well, averaging 103.2 per game on the season. They face a T-Wolves defense that gives up 102.6 per game (103.4 per game over their last five). Minnesota loves the long-ball, putting up 23 three-point attempts per game. This is exactly the type of team that the Suns fare well against. Phoenix is 17-5 ATS this season vs. teams that attempt 18+ long-balls per game. The Suns are also 14-3 ATS vs. teams that allow 99+ points per game. As an underdog, Phoenix is 15-4 ATS this season. Take the points.