Orlando at San Antonio

San Antonio is basically in a must-win mode the rest of the season. They sit three games back of Memphis and are at serious risk for missing the playoffs this season. This is a good spot for them vs. Orlando, a team that is just 11-18 on the road this season. Orlando is just 10-19 ATS this season vs. good shooting teams like the Spurs (teams making 46%+ from the field), including 0-9 ATS in the last nine such games. As a dog this season, the Magic are 9-18 against the number. Meanwhile, thanks to the coaching of Popovich, San Antonio is 22-10 ATS the past three seasons in expected close games (line of -3 to +3). And, under Pop, the Spurs are 130-98 ATS after a home loss. Lay the points on the Spurs.