2007 Season NFL Football Past Picks
December 23, 2007
New York at Tennessee
Sunday 12/23 04:15 PM Eastern
3 units on New York +9 (-120) (risk 3 to return 3) RESULT: WIN
Tennessee is off a semingly convincing victory over the Chiefs. But, that 26-17 win was in question for most of the game. A late 41-yard TD pass by Vince Young to Roydell Williams made the final score a bit misleading. The fact remains that Tennessee has been a pretty bad team since mid-season. While posting a 6-2 mark (5-1-1 ATS) to start the year, they have since gone 2-4 SU and ATS. Teams have adjusted to Vince Young and are now limiting his effectiveness. At first (last season), Young befuddled defenses. But the NFL is a place where no advantage lasts forever. The Titans' offense is ranked 21st in the league and have become a one-dimensional team. The Jets are improving. Yes, we know they have lost their last two games. But, they played very well against excellent teams. Three weeks ago they destroyed the Dolphins 40-13. Then they gave Cleveland a fight, losing by 6 points (less than this spread). And, last week, they stayed right with the Patriots, forcing the worst game of the season for Tom Brady (first game with no TDs). Tennesse isn't nearly as good as either Cleveland or New England. The Titans are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games laying 6+ points. Under Jeff Fisher, they are 20-33 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. Instead of being down after losing last week, we think the Jets are motivated by their success in staying close to a New England team that was out for blood. This is too many points.