This pick was released to clients on September 24, 2012 at 1:10PM ET.
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New Orleans at Denver

April 13, 2005
img9:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
1 unit on Denver -15 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS

Fifteen points? Are you kidding me? No spread is too hot for the best team in the NBA right now. Denver could easily be favored by 20 here. The Nuggets officially clinched a playoff berth yesterday but George Karl is too good a coach to let his team let down. In the second half of the season, home teams off 5+ consecutive wins are 100-51 (66%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Denver beats up on weak teams, especially at home. They are 12-4 ATS at home when playing against a team with a losing record this season includin a perfect 10-0 since Karl took over. Denver is 24-9 ATS at home this season overall with Karl and we'll go with them to make it 25. Denver for one star.

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