2011 Season WNBA Basketball Past Picks

July 31, 2011


Minnesota at San Antonio

Sunday 07/31 03:00 PM Eastern

5 units on Game Total UNDER 160.5 +100 (risk 5 to return 5)  RESULT: WIN

While any pick can lose, it's not often that things line up so nicely on one side. I really like the UNDER in this game. This total is high despite the fact that Minnesota has gone UNDER in three of their last five games while San Antonio is 8-1 UNDER in their last nine games. While the Silver Stars started off the season scoring like crazy, their scoring is way down of late. While they average 84 ppg on the season, their last five games have averaged 75. The same reversal has occurred defensively. On the season, they allow 79 per game, but in their last five, they've shaved that to 73 per game. Minnesota has a long history of playing to the UNDER when facing very good teams. The Lynx are 42-18 UNDER in late season play (after 15+ games) when facing a team that outscores their opponents by 3+ per game. They are also 18-5 UNDER on the road following back-to-back lights-out shooting nights (45%+ from the field). Over the past three seasons, the Lynx are also 9-1 UNDER on the road after scoring 75+ in three straight games. I expect this game to come in UNDER the total.

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