2012 Season NFL Football Past Picks
December 02, 2012
Minnesota at Green Bay
Sunday 12/02 01:00 PM Eastern
3 units on Game Total UNDER PICK (risk 3 to return 3) RESULT: WIN
The Packers’ offense was just about flawless last year, while the defense was about as bad as it gets. Having Aaron Rodgers at QB automatically makes the Packers an expected OVER team, but a lot has changed since last season. The Packers’ offense has gone down 15 slots from one of the best in the league to No. 18 and in the bottom half this season. On the season, they are averaging 10 fewer points scored per game. The defense has gone from dead last up to No. 18. So the offense has slipped 15 spots and the defense has risen 14. This is clearly not the same team, and Rodgers is taking a beating, having been sacked 37 times already. The Packers OL is in real trouble and Jared Allen is certainly licking his chops for this one. Percy Harvin is a valuable player for the Minnesota offense on returns and lining up just about anywhere on offense, but he has missed the last two games, and will be hobbled or out for this one. This game sets up to be a lot more defensive than most expect, especially being an important game for both within the division. These teams are not constituted as they were offensively a year ago, and the Packers are going to get a heavy dose of Adrian Peterson. The Vikings will also put a lot of pressure on Rodgers which will limit the offense. Meanwhile, the Packers defense will be out to show they aren't as bad as they looked last week vs. the Giants. Play this one on the UNDER.