2007 Season NFL Football Past Picks

October 14, 2007


Minnesota at Chicago

Sunday 10/14 01:00 PM Eastern

2 units on Minnesota +5 (-110) (risk 2 to return 2)  RESULT: WIN

The Bears pulled off the upset last week against the Packers. Are they back? Not really. While that was a nice and unexpected win, the fact remains that this Bears team is pretty bad. They are averaging 17.4 points per game and allowing 23. They lost to a bad San Diego team in week one, scoring 3 points. Detroit beat them by 10 points and Dallas destroyed them. From the offense, we never expected much. Rex had to go and Cedric Benson has been a complete bust. Overall they have the third worst offense in the league. But suprisingly the defense has been bad too (again injuries are a problem). They did not dominate the Packers last week. GB was actually up pretty comfortably but a Brett Favre mistake and a long TD pass for Chicago and the Bears won. That game set up this out-of-whack line this week. We know - what about Minnesota? They are an inept team. Yes they are, but they are getting 5 points here. If the Vikings can get Adrian Peterson the ball 25+ times, they have a great shot at winning this game. Peterson is #9 in the NFL in rushing and has gotten 100+ in three of four games. Their QB play is horrible but Chicago is not a high scoring team. The Vikings can afford to keep it on the ground and keep it low and close. Their defense is playing good, giving up just 14.8 points per game and ranked 5th in the league. The Vikes are off a bye and have won four of their last five in that role both SU and ATS. Chicago is 1-5 ATS in their last six at home. While many think the Bears are better than their play has indicated thus far, we aren't sure. Take the points on a team that could easily win this game outright.



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