Milwaukee has lost four straight (including three to the lowly Cubs) while Arizona has won four straight. Both of the pitchers have fared well this season but I give Brandon Webb the edge. Chris Capuano is 10-4 with a 3.21 ERA but 3-3 with a 3.92 ERA on the road. Brandon Webb is 9-3 with a 2.65 ERA (3.12 with 4-1 record at home). In games involving two teams in the 46%-49% win range, teams off 3+ straight wins (i.e. momentum) are 73-38 (66%) over the past decade. Go with the small price here on the team with momentum and home field advantage.
This pick was released to clients on February 05, 2013 at 11:39AM ET.
MLB
Milwaukee at Arizona
July 15, 2006
9:40 PM Eastern
2 units on Arizona -129 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 3.55)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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