Louisville at Memphis

Memphis has shown me a lot recently winning on the road. The Tigers are averaging nearly 81 points per game in their last five and they hold opponents to under 62 at home. They now get a big ESPN game at home in a must-win situation. Louisville is a bit overrated at this point in my opinion and shouldn't be laying three here in this situation. Sure, they're on a tear but they've actually underperformed having lost their last six ATS. Memphis is 11-1 ATS versus good offensive teams (those scoring 77+ points/game)over the last 3 seasons. They are also an incredible 17-3 ATS during February over the pas three season. Take the home dog for a couple stars.