Los Angeles at Kansas City

Ervin Santana is putting together a great season thus far as he goes for his sixth straight win. It seems like an easy win here for the Angels who have played well on the road. Take a look at this line, especially considering that opposing Santana will be Brett Tomko who is has a 6.26 ERA. Throw in the fact that KC is just 5-7 at home, scoring 2.8 runs per game, and you have to wonder why this line isn't much higher. It smells fishy and we think it's a trap. Santana isn't this good. He is due for a bad outing. The Angels haven't performed well against poor hitting teams, posting a sub-.500 record vs. teams batting .265 or worse the past couple of seasons. Over that same span, the Royals are plus-units vs. winning teams. This season KC is 12-8 as an underdog. We'll back the home dog here.