2012 Season NFL Football Past Picks
December 09, 2012
Kansas City at Cleveland
Sunday 12/09 01:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Kansas City PICK () (risk 2 to return 2) RESULT: LOSS
The Kansas City Chiefs have turned the ball over more than any team in the league. It has cost them five games where they out-gained their opponents this season. So despite outgaining their opponent, all five went in the loss column because of their careless sloppy play. Last week Brady Quinn and the Chiefs played an error-free game, and it resulted in posting their second win of the season. This is a 2-10 team simply because of the turnovers, but that won’t last forever as a good part of it is random. So, that's one reason the number here looks a bit large. The second reason has to do with Cleveland. This is just the second time the Browns have been favored all season. Cleveland has won two in a row but the first one took eight turnovers by the Steelers with a backup QB. In that game, they still had to stop a potential game-winning drive to preserve that win. Last week they played at Oakland and surrendered over 400 yards, but managed to squeak out a 3-point win. Only four quarterbacks this season own a worse passer rating than Brandon Weeden. If the Chiefs can do anything, it's run the ball with Jamaal Charles. That's not good news for the Browns who are 0-7 ATS the past three seasons vs. teams like Kansas City that rush for 130+ yards per game. This is a very tall task for Cleveland as in their last 26 games they own just one win by more than 6 points, and the Chiefs are certainly capable of winning here. This is a quantum leap by oddsmakers as the Browns have been favored by more than 3 points just two times in their last 76 games. Those did not work out well, as they lost outright in one, and won by 1 point in the other. Take the points and back Kansas City.