2007 Season NFL Football Past Picks
December 23, 2007
Houston at Indianapolis
Sunday 12/23 01:00 PM Eastern
3 units on Houston +7 (-105) (risk 3 to return 3) RESULT: LOSS
This line may look a bit low but the reality is, what does the game mean to Indianapolis? And, what has been their history when they have nothing to play for? Indianapolis can do nothing to change their playoff status, which has become the norm for this team down the stretch in recent years. The last five years the Colts have gone to week 16 with a combined record of 55-15. They have so many injuries, and with nothing to play for. Their history over the last five years would indicate that they are going to sleep-walk their way through these final final games. The Colts are 0-10 ATS the last five years in weeks 16 & 17. The fact is, for a team that won 55 of 70 leading into these games they are just 5-5 SU and in the last four years they have not won any game by more than 5 points! They have actually been out-scored by 46 points in the final two weeks of the season over the last five years. For Houston, this is a game that means so much. A win over the Colts puts a sense of validation on their season and ensures for the first time they don't finish with a losing record. In a nutshell, this is the Superbowl for the Texans. We would not be surprised if Houston plays good and wins this game straight up, so we will gladly take the TD, and go with a very live dog.