2015 Season NFL Football Past Picks
January 10, 2016
Green Bay at Washington
Sunday 01/10 04:40 PM Eastern
1 unit on Green Bay +1 (-112) (risk 1 to return 1.89) RESULT: WIN
These teams are heading in opposite directions, or at least it would appear as Kirk Cousins looks more like Aaron Rodgers than Aaron Rodgers himself. There is a hidden issue in this game. The Redskins did not beat a single team with a winning record this season, and subsequently saw very little resistance in their passing game. They only faced three teams all season that allow fewer than 20.5 points per game as the Packers do, and they generated 704 yards of total offense in the three games. Cousins threw four INTs in the three games, and Washington was 0-3 SU and 0-3 ATS in those games, getting outscored 35-15.3 or by 20 points per game. The rest of their schedule against bad teams kept a bad defense from being truly exposed as they were able to hold onto the ball longer, limiting the time the defense was on the field. However, that has not been the case against a team that doesn't allow points, where they allowed 35 ppg! Mike McCarthy is 24-14 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less. I think Green Bay is better served here on the road away from the naysayers in Green Bay, and against an opponent they have a much better matchup against, and they will take advantage of it. Green Bay takes this one.