Florida at Washington

Florida is as good on the road as Washington is at home, with both teams sitting at one game under .500. Florida has a better record in-division than does Washington. Florida has a less potent offense but a much better defense. All this adds up to value on a underdog at this price. The fact is, these teams are pretty equal. The Capitals are just 32-63 the past three seasons vs. losing teams! And, they are 5-21 vs. good offensive teams (those that get 29+ shots on goal and 17%+ power play conversion) over the past two seasons. Finally, the Caps are 0-6 at home after having won 4+ of their last five games over the past three seasons. Good value on the Panthers here.