2015 Season NFL Football Past Picks

November 01, 2015

01

Detroit vs. Kansas City

Sunday 11/01 09:30 AM Eastern

2 units on Game Total OVER 45 -105 (risk 2 to return 3.9)  RESULT: WIN

Things have changed for the Lions since their last trip to London, when they came from way behind to win, and shared the best record in the NFL. This time the Lions are tied for the worst record in the league. Detroit lost some key cogs in their defense from last season's squad. While they didn't want to pay the price to keep them, they are paying the price on the field with a defense that is allowing 28.6 points per game. The Chiefs at 2-5 have not done much better on the defensive end, as they are allowing 24.6 ppg. That may be good news for Matthew Stafford and the Lions who are 20-13 to the OVER when facing a defense that allows 21.6 to 27.6 points per game, with the Lions scoring 25.9 ppg. Stafford reallhy struggled early-on but has really come on. In the first four games, he averaged just 246 passing yards. The last three he as improved that to 322. Alex Smith has done a good job of carving up bad defenses where he has led the Chiefs to 26.9 ppg vs. a defense allowing 25.6 to 31.6 points per game. Since Andy Reid came to town, the Chiefs are a perfect 6-0 OVER when facing a really bad defense (teams like Detroit that allow 64%+ completions to opposing QBs). All in all the numbers and situation are favorable for a lot of points to be scored. Make the play on the OVER in London as my NFL Totals Game of the Month. Cheerio!


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