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2007 Season NFL Football Past Picks

December 30, 2007

30

Detroit at Green Bay

Sunday 12/30 01:00 PM Eastern

3 units on Green Bay -3 (-120) (risk 3 to return 3)  RESULT: WIN

Green Bay had everything to play for last week and got smashed in the mouth by Chicago. They lost all hope of home-field advantage through the playoffs. Do they want to enter the playoffs on a downward spiral, losing yet another game after that one - a loss to the lowly Lions at home? No way! We look for Green Bay to bring an effort here to avoid that nightmare. You can bet Favre is itching to get back on the field after his 153-yard performance last Sunday. It was the worst playing conditions he's faced in his career, according to Favre. With 40-mile-per-hour gusts of wind and sub-zero windchill temperatures, we can give a "pass" to the Packers. Especially considering that they had two punts blocked and two turnovers. Brett Favre has never lost to Detroit at home and the Lions haven't won here in 16 tries. Green Bay is 13-3-2 ATS in their last eighteen games vs. Detroit. The Lions snapped a horrific second-half skid with a 5-point win over KC last week. But, do they deserve much credit for that? The Chiefs afterall have lost eight games in a row! Detroit is 2-10 ATS the past two seasons as a road underdog of 7 points or less and 2-9 ATS on the road vs. conference foes. Green Bay to roll against the defenseless Lions here.


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