2012 Season NFL Football Past Picks
December 16, 2012
Denver at Baltimore
Sunday 12/16 01:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Baltimore (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 2) RESULT: LOSS
The Denver Broncos have now won eight straight games and have moved to No. 4 in the league on offense and No. 4 on defense. So who can possibly derail the Manning express? Perhaps it might be a team that has a record better than 7-6. The Broncos may be lavishing in the winning streak, but a closer look leaves some question marks. The eight game winning streak is comprised of teams that are a combined 37-67 on the season with only a single winning team in the 7-6 Cincinnati Bengals. The Broncos’ other two wins on the season came at the expense of teams that are 13-16, so their 10 wins are to teams that are 47-83, and none better than 7-6. Their three losses were to teams with solid winning records, and at 9-4 Baltimore fits above all the teams they have beaten this season, and they are at home, desperate for a win. The Ravens find a way to get it done at home where they are 34-6 straight-up in their last 40 and they've won 20 of their last 22! The six losses are by a combined 18 points, and the biggest loss is by 4. The Broncos are 6-16 ATS in their last 22 on the road vs. a winning team. Baltimore has won 34 of their last 40 here, and the six losses were near misses. This season, the Ravens are 5-1 at home winning on average 34-22. And, in their last 11 games folowing a loss, the Ravens are 10-1 straight up. In the Harbaugh era, they are 18-5 after a loss. The Ravens have been a home dog just once in the last four years - and for good reason. Take Baltimore on the moneyline.