2007 Season NFL Football Past Picks
December 02, 2007
Cleveland at Arizona
Sunday 12/02 04:05 PM Eastern
5 units on Arizona +1.5 (-110) (risk 5 to return 5) RESULT: WIN
It appears that the Cleveland Browns have arrived! At least the public thinks so. And the odds-makers realize they have to show some respect for the 7-4 Browns. We have a different view of the Browns, at least this week. This is a perfect situation as the Cards just gave up 37 to a team that hasn't scored 37 in their last five games combined. The Browns have one of the most potent offenses in the NFL, so this one should be easy right? We don't think so. The Browns surely can score some points, but the last thing to come to a team on the improve, is playing that way on the road. We haven't seen it from the Browns. They have played on the road four times. The first was against an 0-2 Oakland team, which was a loss. Another was vs an 0-7 St. Louis team that was missing half of its team. The Browns escaped with a 7 point win. Two weeks ago they were on the road vs a Baltimore team that was 0-3 in its last three games, getting out-scored 78-28, and it took a miracle finish to get out of there alive. The other was a 17 point loss to New England. Not the type of resume you typically see from a team on the road vs a 5-6 team that plays well at home. Arizona has beaten Pittsburgh and Seattle this season as a home dog, and last year they beat Seattle and Kansas City and got the cover vs Chicago. The Cards have their offense clicking now, and have put up 97 points in their last three games. They should have no trouble scoring against a Cleveland defense that is horrible (worst in the leauge) and also missing half of their secondary for this one. Kurt Warner threw for 484 yards last week and certainly could equal or top that vs the defenseless Browns. The offenses are even right now, but the defensive edge is in favor of the Cards. The Cards are at home and desparate because a loss could end their playoff hopes. A win in contrast keeps them right in the thick of things. Cards should come away with a convincing win.