2015 Season NFL Football Past Picks

November 26, 2015

26

Chicago at Green Bay

Thursday 11/26 08:30 PM Eastern

1 unit on Green Bay -8 (-115) (risk 1 to return 1.87)  RESULT: LOSS

This is a tough spot for banged up Chicago, heading to Lambeau Field against a great QB that is very motivated. Chicago has been dealing with key injuries on offense all season, and running back Matt Forte (knee) and wide receivers Alshon Jeffery (groin) and Eddie Royal (knee) are again questionable for this game. The Packers are very motivated here as they feel a need to win after losing three of their last four. Also, the last time they were in this building, they were embarrassed by the Lions so I expect them to be very fired up to win this game and win it big. Let's not overreact to the back-to-back-to-back Packers losses. Let's remember that two of those came on the road to then undefeated Denver and still undefeated Carolina. Prior to those three games, Green Bay had won six in a row by an average score of 27 to 17. And last week they beat a very solid Minnesota team on the road 30-13. Chicago is 12-27 ATS against the NFC, plus 5-13 ATS vs. the NFC North. Do you think jittery Jay Cutler will turn the ball over a few times? Cutler is 1-11 with 22 interceptions in his career against the Packers! Green Bay is 35-17-2 ATS at home and 40-18 ATS against the NFC North. QB Aaron Rodgers looked plenty healthy against Chicago in Week 1 when he went 18-of-23 for 189 yards, three touchdowns, and no interceptions in a 31-23 triumph. Green Bay has taken 10 of the last 11 meetings, including the postseason. The Bears are on a 8-22-1 ATS run against the Packers, including 2-5 ATS at Lambeau. The Pack are 42-25 ATS when favored at home under Mike McCarthy. This shapes up as a one-sided rout for the home team. Play Green Bay.



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