2007 Season NFL Football Past Picks

October 28, 2007

28

Buffalo at New York

Sunday 10/28 04:05 PM Eastern

3 units on New York -2.5 (-125) (risk 3 to return 3)  RESULT: LOSS

Things change fast in this league. The Jets were playing New England in the playoffs last year, with many giving them a shot at winning. They proceed to start this season 1-6, and all of a sudden last year's genious, Eric Mangini, has got the lynch mob after him. Buffalo has been given a lot of credit for their recent play. They beat the Jets by 3 at home (but note that they were out-gained) and they had Dallas til the very end on Monday night. Then they beat Baltimore at home - a huge upset. Trent Edwards has been annointed as the QB of the future for Buffalo, and while that may be the case, he has yet to perform on the road. There are some indications that may be a bit scary for Buffalo fans, as he has had some rough 4th quarters. He has not been on the road yet, and playing a division rival in their crib is likely to present problems for the youngster. Remember, this is a Buffalo team that has scored just five TDs in their last five games on offense. It is also a defense that has recorded just five sacks all season. Chad Pennington has had some issues but given time in the pocket, he is good. He completed 32-39 on the road at Buffalo, and the result will be different at home. The Jets are a desparate team for a win right now and this is the place they will get it. Mangini was extremely upset after his team blew a 23-10 halftime lead to the Bengals last week. We suspect they had a very tough and focused week of practice and will come out strong here. Buffalo, in their two road games this season, managed just 208 yards and 5 points per game. Road teams off an upset win as a home underdog cover the spread in just 22% of their games the following week. We like the Jets to win this by more than a field goal.


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